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万维读者网>世界股票论坛>帖子 |
II % Bears below 20%; Bull/Bear ratio not yet over |
送交者: 3脚猫 2013-03-17 01:01:30 于 [世界股票论坛] |
II % Bears below 20%; Bull/Bear ratio not yet overbought Market Analysis | United States Investors Intelligence (II) % Bears moves to 18.8% and to a contrarian bearish level below 20% for the first time since April/May 2011 (chart below). Sentiment is a condition indicator and contrarian overbought readings can last weeks and even months. The last time % Bears was below 20%, II Bulls vs. Bears (Bulls divided by Bulls + Bears) was also at contrarian bearish readings above 75% (side bar chart). This time, the Bull/Bear ratio is 72.7% and not yet overbought. In April/May 2011, % Bears reached a low of 15.7% and Bulls vs. Bears hit a peak of 78.5%. Sentiment is stretched, but may still have room to run before becoming extreme. S&P 500 uptrend intact with breadth & volume confirming Last week’s breakout above 1530 is intact and targets 1550-1576 or important resistance at the longer-term range highs. The uptrend for the S&P 500 is set up to continue, given confirmation from market breadth and volume indicators that measure net accumulation or buying, such as our Volume Intensity Model and onbalance- volume (see our Market Comment). A break beyond 1550-1576 would target 1600-1625. Support is 1530-1525 – holding above this level keeps last week’s breakout intact and the pattern bullish. Additional support is 1500-1485. *cannot upload image |
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