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聯儲:忘了WLIG吧,那個值不斷下跌是房貸扭曲的結果,但經濟沒衰退。
送交者: 道友 2011-10-20 01:05:27 於 [世界股票論壇]
WLIG跌到去年低值,通常都導致經濟衰退,但至今沒發生,公司盈餘報告不壞。看今天的聯儲褐皮書,大致可以理解為何WLIG大幅下跌,但經濟仍沒衰退。老道的理解是由於房貸受目前房產市場的收縮的影響,金融監管加強,和歐洲債務問題三大因素扭曲了WLIG,導致這個金融指標特別熊。可是現在銀行沒錢公司卻有錢,所以經濟暫不受影響,沒衰退,問題提是消費者手上也沒錢,導致消費者指數大跌,月底鬼節後的消費季節將顯出問題,可能最終把經濟拉進衰退。



ZT: The economy is losing steam across much of the nation, but is still growing and not in recession, according to the latest outlook from the Federal Reserve.

Wednesday's release of the so-called Beige Book, which is a summary of outlooks from the 12 district banks from across the country, certainly didn't portray a robust economy.

"Many districts described the pace of growth as 'modest' or 'slight' and contacts generally noted weaker or less certain outlooks for business conditions," said the Beige Book report.

But amid growing fears that the economy has already fallen into a new recession or is about to do so, the Fed's report said growth was still present in most of the country.

"Overall economic activity continued to expand in September," said the Fed, as it said consumer spending was up in most districts and business spending is also increasing "somewhat."

The central bank said a few districts even reported improvement in the long-suffering construction and real estate industries. And it said cost pressures are easing in the majority of districts.

But financial activity is declining in much of the country with loan volumes either flat or down slightly in most districts, an indication of weak confidence and lowered business investment. And there was little good news for unemployed job seekers.

"Hiring was being restrained by elevated uncertainty or lower expectations for their future growth," said the Fed.

The Richmond and Chicago districts reported retailers reducing their seasonal hiring plans due to concerns about a weak holiday shopping season, although the New York district reported an increase in seasonal hiring. To top of page

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當前新聞共有7條評論
    老道是上半身,聯儲下半身。  /無內容 - 道友 10/20/11 (599)
  繼續跌還是有麻煩的。電子兄知道多很多。  /無內容 - 驚弓之鳥 10/20/11 (657)
    邀請電兄出山給兄弟們指點一下  /無內容 - biomed 10/20/11 (601)
  thanks.  /無內容 - bear10 10/20/11 (544)
  高見。值很多銀子。謝老道  /無內容 - biomed 10/20/11 (586)
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