lone-shepherd 川普当选后牧人写了一篇搞笑文章《川普总统忙碌的第一天》,历数川普对选民的承诺。 一百天了,交卷的时候到了! 咱们看看川普的成绩单到底如何。 一、健康保险 | 许诺 | 兑现了吗? |
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| 终止奥巴马健保,用“好的多的多的健保”取而代之 | 没有。这是本来是成百上千许诺中最靠谱的一个。他试了,但是因为其愚蠢、失败的很惨。 听说他还要试,但是用“好的多的多的健保”取而代之?听着像天上掉馅饼 | | 通过《可负担儿童与老人保障法案》 | Where? As I really want to see it. | | 挽救联邦医疗保险Medicare、联邦医疗辅助保险 Medicaid和社安保险而且不消减福利 | 又掉了一张馅饼 |
二、经济, 工作和贸易 | 许诺 | 兑现了吗? |
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| 通过《中产减税法案》 | Not Yet。昨天川普发布了其“Big Tax Cut”,不过从现在的情况看,他提出的法案在参众两院通过的可能几乎为零,最后通过的很可能是一个四不像。 美国现在的公司税太高,削减公司税是是必要的。 | | 给每一家迁至海外的大公司CEO打电话、对他们多征35%的税 | 撒谎。 | | 撤出TPP | 兑现,finally there is one! | | 重新谈判北美自由贸易协定NAFTA | 兑现。川普提出重新谈判,但是牧人怀疑他能 get a better deal.
| | 把中国列入汇率操纵国 | 没必要了。在习大大让川普商标胜诉、高价购买川普地产和让伊万卡在中国拥有商标权后,中国已经不再是汇率操纵国了 | | 将工作从中国、墨西哥及其他地方夺回来 | 没有。夺回来的工作在哪儿? | | 恢复被奥巴马终止的能源项目 | 兑现。Keystone石油管线要上马了。 | | 经济增长率至少6% | Americans, goog luck! | | 停止对煤矿的战争! | 兑现。3月28日,川普签署总统令,撤销奥巴马的一系列措施,”我的内阁停止了对煤矿的战争”,川普宣称。但是牧人怀疑这项措施是不是可以挽救西弗吉尼亚的煤炭工业。 |
三、(非法)移民 | 许诺 | 兑现了吗? |
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| 马上将所有有犯罪前科的非法移民递解出境 | 观察。每一位总统包括奥巴马都承诺将“有犯罪前科的非法移民递解出境”,川普的打击比前任严厉了,但是效果要数年以后才知道。 | | 开始建造一座实在的、高高的、有力的、美丽的、不可逾越的南部高墙,让墨西哥人买单 | 怀疑。川普确实签署了总统令,但是墨西哥已经告诉川普f*ck off;而且因为费用庞大(大概2-400亿),国会也不同意让美国纳税人买单 为保证他的第一个预算获得通过,川普似乎不再坚持今年的预算包括“造墙”的钱。 | | 跟国土安全部的官员和将军们讨论如何保卫南部(美墨)边界 | BS!
| | 照会所有拒绝接受有犯罪前科的非法移民的国家、他们不会获得进入美国的签证 | 没有。 | | 禁止叙利亚难民入境、将已经在美国的叙利亚难民kick out;在完全掌控情况之前,禁止穆斯林进入美国。 | 没有。不仅没有,这句话为川普的签证政策实施带来了极大的麻烦,他的两道总统令被法庭搁置。 | | Trump says wealthy Persian Gulf nations like Saudi Arabia should pay to set up a heavily guarded "safe zone" in Syria. | 观察!据说沙特和阿联酋同意为建立叙利亚、也门难民安全区买单,且看这个安全区什么时候建立起来、效果如何。 | | 创建叙利亚难民数据库,之后也许会扩展为穆斯林数据库。 | 没有。除非修改宪法,他也做不到。 |
四、国家安全 | 许诺 | 兑现了吗? |
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| 命令五星上将们在30天内拿出消灭ISIS的方案 | 没有。Oh That's right, it's a secret! | | 给盟国打电话,跟他们说“哥儿几个,大哥愿意保护你们,不过你们不能再占大哥的便宜了”。 | 观察。川普确实要求其它国家掏腰包了,但是迄今还没有谁明确表态买单。 | | 让俄国来处理叙利亚的ISIS,跟普京合作来wipe out 共同的敌人 (不会是民主党吧?) | 没有。那是班农的政策,自从伊万卡入主白宫、川普看到阿萨德用毒气弹杀死baby后就不允许了。 | 重新使用水刑 waterboarding
| 没有。他的国防部长和国土安全部长已经明确表示不会,川普“尊重”两位部长。 | | 杀死恐怖分子的亲人 relatives | Are you out of your f$cking mind! | | 让沙特和阿联酋设立一个叙利亚难民安全区、而且让他们买单 | 观察!据说沙特和阿联酋同意为建立叙利亚难民安全区买单,且看这个安全区什么时候建立起来、效果如何。 | | 不可预测 Be unpredictable. | 兑现。川普从来都是不可预测,呵呵 |
五、抽干沼泽 Drain the Swamp | 许诺 | 兑现了吗? |
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| 废除所有的奥巴马总统令和违宪的总统令 | 没有。他可以废除一些,不可能全部。川普倒是新签署了不少总统令,其中有关七国/六国签证的总统令被法庭推翻。 | | 修改宪法、对参众两院引进任期限制 | 严重怀疑。克鲁兹说他要提出这个议案,但是这个议案成为法律的可能性几乎为零。 | | 停止招聘,通过自然减员逐步减少联邦雇员(军队、公共安全和公众健康除外) | 兑现。一月23号川普签署了该项总统令 | | 白宫和国会官员离职后五年内不得成为游说人员 lobbyists,终生不得成为外国政府的游说人员 | 怀疑。一月29号川普签署项总统令,但是不包括国会官员,而且佛林和马纳福特是怎么回事? | | 彻底禁止外国游说人员为美国选举捐款 | 没有。至少查不到川普的立法或总统令 | 通过审计之后公布个人税表
| 没有。他反悔了 | | 将个人资产交给保密信托管理 | 没有。他又反悔了 | | 总统期间,绝不休假! | 一个月打的高尔夫比奥巴马一年还多? You f*cking liar! |
六、社会问题 | 许诺 | 兑现了吗? |
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| 取消校区及军事基地的禁枪规定 | 没有。 | | 要求国会通过'凯蒂法',这个法规定有犯罪前科的外国人再度非法进入美国时面临严厉的最低刑期 | 没有。 | | 在联邦范围内将药用大麻合法,让各州自行决定大麻是否合法 | 没有。没有(保守派们高兴了) |
总结 2016 年10 月22 日,为争取选民支持,川普在葛底斯堡发布了《川普和选民的契约》,包括100天内通过十大法案。 现在成绩单出来了:十大法案没有一项通过,绝大多数(九项)甚至没有提交国会表决,而他的共和党控制着参众两院! 除了Keystone和最高法院法官获得提名,川普可以说是一事无成。 无怪乎他的100天支持率是一个世纪以来所有总统中最低的。 好消息是美国经济状况正在改善,川粉当然认为是川普的功劳,呵呵
下面是大选前川普发表的《川普和选民的契约》,大家可以自行甄别: Donald Trump's Contract With The American Voter (2016.10) What follows is my 100-day action plan to Make America Great Again. It is a contract between myself and the American voter — and begins with restoring honesty, accountability and change to Washington. Therefore, on the first day of my term of office, my administration will immediately pursue the following six measures to clean up the corruption and special interest collusion in Washington, DC: 第一, 起草一项宪法修正案,规定国会成员的任期上限 propose a Constitutional Amendment to impose term limits on all members of Congress; 第二, 所有政府部门停止招聘新的员工以削减开支(军队, 公共安全, 公共健康部门除外)a hiring freeze on all federal employees to reduce federal workforce through attrition (exempting military, public safety, and public health); 第三, 以后每产生一条新的联邦法规,必须先废除两条旧的 a requirement that for every new federal regulation, two existing regulations must be eliminated; 第四, 规定所有白宫与国会官员离职5年之内不能担任政治说客lobbyist (公司或团体的在政府内部拥有关系、能为公司或团体谋利益的人) a 5 year-ban on White House and Congressional officials becoming lobbyists after they leave government service; 第五,规定所有白宫与国会官员终身不能担任其他国家政府的政治说客lobbyist a lifetime ban on White House officials lobbying on behalf of a foreign government; 第六, 规定禁止其他国家的说客为美国大选筹款。 a complete ban on foreign lobbyists raising money for American elections.
On the same day, I will begin taking the following 7 actions to protect American workers: 第一,重新谈判北美自贸协定 I will announce my intention to renegotiate NAFTA or withdraw from the deal under Article 2205 第二,退出环太平洋合作组织 TPP, I will announce our withdrawal from the TPP Trans-Pacific Partnership 三,让财政部长标定中国为汇率操纵国, I will direct my Secretary of the Treasury to label China a currency manipulator 第四,让商业部和美国贸易代表团裁定所有那些对美国工人不公正的非正当的国际贸易举措, 引导美国工人利用国际法和美国国内法来终止这些不正当的贸易。 I will direct the Secretary of Commerce and U.S. Trade Representative to identify all foreign trading abuses that unfairly impact American workers and direct them to use every tool under American and international law to end those abuses immediately 第五,去除对价值五十万亿美元的美国能源储备(包括页岩,天然气,清洁煤)的生产活动所采取的限制, I will lift the restrictions on the production of $50 trillion dollars' worth of job-producing American energy reserves, including shale, oil, natural gas and clean coal. 六, 去除奥巴马和克林顿对能源基建项目所采取的限制, 让诸如Keystone 管道计划等项目能够继续进行, lift the Obama-Clinton roadblocks and allow vital energy infrastructure projects, like the Keystone Pipeline, to move forward 撤销对联合国气候变化项目的高达数十亿美元的资助,并将这笔资金用于修复美国水资源和环境基础建设。cancel billions in payments to U.N. climate change programs and use the money to fix America's water and environmental infrastructure
Additionally, on the first day, I will take the following five actions to restore security and the constitutional rule of law: 第一,取消所有奥巴马的违宪的行政活动、 备忘录和法令, cancel every unconstitutional executive action, memorandum and order issued by President Obama 第二,开始大法官筛选程序、从20名单中选出一位Scalia大法官的替代者,以维护和保障美国宪法。begin the process of selecting a replacement for Justice Scalia from one of the 20 judges on my list, who will uphold and defend the Constitution of the United States 第三,取消所有对收容城市的联邦资助, cancel all federal funding to Sanctuary Cities 第四, 开始遣返大于两百万的非法移民罪犯。 倘若对方国家不愿意接收, 则取消对方国家进入美国的签证。begin removing the more than 2 million criminal illegal immigrants from the country and cancel visas to foreign countries that won't take them back 第五,暂停从有恐怖主义倾向、移民审查失效的国家接受移民。 所有来美国的移民必须接受 极端审查。suspend immigration from terror-prone regions where vetting cannot safely occur. All vetting of people coming into our country will be considered extreme vetting.
Next, I will work with Congress to introduce the following broader legislative measures and fight for their passage within the first 100 days of my Administration: 通过《中产减税法案》,通过减税和简化税法使得GDP增速达到4%、创造两千五百万个新工作的经济计划。同时与之配套的还会有贸易改革、宽松法规和减轻美国能源限制等举措。中产将得到最大的税务减免,有两个小孩的中产家庭会有35%的税务减免。目前的税务种类会从7种减少到3种, 税表也会相应简化。商业税率会从35%减少到15%,数以万亿美元的美国企业海外资金会以10%的速度回流。Middle Class Tax Relief And Simplification Act. An economic plan designed to grow the economy 4% per year and create at least 25 million new jobs through massive tax reduction and simplification, in combination with trade reform, regulatory relief, and lifting the restrictions on American energy. The largest tax reductions are for the middle class. A middle-class family with 2 children will get a 35% tax cut. The current number of brackets will be reduced from 7 to 3, and tax forms will likewise be greatly simplified. The business rate will be lowered from 35 to 15 percent, and the trillions of dollars of American corporate money overseas can now be brought back at a 10 percent rate. 终止《离岸法案》,通过关税来抑制大公司海外建厂、产品返运回美国时避税并且解雇美国本土工人的行为。End The Offshoring Act. Establishes tariffs to discourage companies from laying off their workers in order to relocate in other countries and ship their products back to the U.S. tax-free. 《美国能源与基建法案》。通过税率优惠来争取公共私营合作以及私营投资,进行一项为期10年、1万亿的基建投资。该项目本身收支平衡。American Energy & Infrastructure Act. Leverages public-private partnerships, and private investments through tax incentives, to spur $1 trillion in infrastructure investment over 10 years. It is revenue neutral. 《学校选择与教育机会法案》。重新定向教育资金,从而使父母能有权利选择送他们的孩子去公立、私立、教会、磁校[注1]、宗教或者家庭学校。取消统一标准, 将教育监督的权利还给当地社区。 这项法案会拓展职业教育和技能教育, 并使2年制和4年制的大学更便宜。School Choice And Education Opportunity Act. Redirects education dollars to give parents the right to send their kid to the public, private, charter, magnet, religious or home school of their choice. Ends common core, brings education supervision to local communities. It expands vocational and technical education, and make 2 and 4-year college more affordable. 撤销和替换《奥巴马医保法案》。 用健康储蓄账户替换奥巴马医保,新法案让普通人在任何一个州购买健康保险,并让各个州管理Medicaid基金。 精简FDA的新药批准流程,目前有超过四千种药物正在等待批准,我们特别希望能加速这一进程。Repeal and Replace Obamacare Act. Fully repeals Obamacare and replaces it with Health Savings Accounts, the ability to purchase health insurance across state lines, and lets states manage Medicaid funds. Reforms will also include cutting the red tape at the FDA: there are over 4,000 drugs awaiting approval, and we especially want to speed the approval of life-saving medications. 《可负担儿童和老人保障法案》。儿童和老人保障将可用于抵税,鼓励员工提供第一手儿童保障服务。同时设立免税的、针对年轻和年迈的受扶养人的保障储蓄账户。Affordable Childcare and Eldercare Act. Allows Americans to deduct childcare and elder care from their taxes, incentivizes employers to provide on-side childcare services, and creates tax-free Dependent Care Savings Accounts for both young and elderly dependents, with matching contributions for low-income families. 撤销《非法移民法案》。 全力资助南部边境的隔离墙的修建,并确保墨西哥会补偿美国的修墙支出。 对于再次非法入境美国的非法移民, 强制至少2年联邦监狱服刑。对于再次非法入境美国的重罪、多次犯罪、多次递解出境的罪犯, 强制至少5年联邦监狱服刑。 同时改革签证法规,加重对于超期滞留的处罚,并保证有新的工作机会时,美国工人被首先考虑。End Illegal Immigration Act。 Fully-funds the construction of a wall on our southern border with the full understanding that the country Mexico will be reimbursing the United States for the full cost of such wall; establishes a 2-year mandatory minimum federal prison sentence for illegally re-entering the U.S. after a previous deportation, and a 5-year mandatory minimum for illegally re-entering for those with felony convictions, multiple misdemeanor convictions or two or more prior deportations; also reforms visa rules to enhance penalties for overstaying and to ensure open jobs are offered to American workers first. 《恢复社区安全法案》。 通过建立专项警力和加强对地方警察的以减少犯罪、贩毒、暴力行为,增加项目支出用以训练和协助当地警方。 增加警员数量来瓦解犯罪团伙,监禁罪犯。Restoring Community Safety Act. Reduces surging crime, drugs and violence by creating a Task Force On Violent Crime and increasing funding for programs that train and assist local police; increases resources for federal law enforcement agencies and federal prosecutors to dismantle criminal gangs and put violent offenders behind bars. 《恢复国家安全法案》。通过防务削减和增加军事投入而重建军力;为退伍军人提供公共荣军服务或自选私人医生;加强网络安全建设;建立新的移民筛选机制,保证新移民接受我们的价值观。Restoring National Security Act. Rebuilds our military by eliminating the defense sequester and expanding military investment; provides Veterans with the ability to receive public VA treatment or attend the private doctor of their choice; protects our vital infrastructure from cyber-attack; establishes new screening procedures for immigration to ensure those who are admitted to our country support our people and our values 《清除华盛顿贪腐法案》。通过新的职业操守改革来清除贪腐Drain the Swamp和减少特殊利益集团对政治的影响。Clean up Corruption in Washington Act. Enacts new ethics reforms to Drain the Swamp and reduce the corrupting influence of special interests on our politics.
注1:Magnet school 磁校(英国称为专业学校specialist school)是一种特殊的公立学校,它不必按照学区入学,教学大纲亦有所不同。 |