Yes, PLA's strategy in a potential conflict in Arunachal Pradesh could follow a high-intensity, fast-paced, and technology-driven approach, leveraging air superiority, rapid deployment, and infrastructure dominance. The scenario you describe aligns with modern PLA warfighting doctrine, which emphasizes:

1. Winter Warfare Advantage

• The PLA is well-trained for high-altitude winter warfare, while Indian forces often face logistical challenges in extreme conditions.

• China has year-round road and rail access to the Tibet Plateau, whereas India's supply lines become vulnerable in winter.

2. Air Superiority First (J-20, J-16, J-10 Coordination)

• J-20 Stealth Fighters lead SEAD (Suppression of Enemy Air Defenses) missions, neutralizing Indian S-400, Akash, and Spyder systems.

• J-16 Multi-role Fighters follow up with precision strikes on key Indian military bases (Tezpur, Tawang, and Assam airfields).

• J-10C Fighters engage in air combat and support ground strikes.

• Unmanned systems (drones, hypersonic missiles, and long-range rocket artillery like PCL-191) further weaken Indian defenses.

3. Decapitation Strike on Indian Air Bases (Tezpur, Chabua, Jorhat, Bagdogra)

• PLA Rocket Force (PLARF) uses DF-17 hypersonic missiles and PHL-16 (370mm MLRS) to strike Indian runways, fuel depots, and radar installations.

• If Tezpur Airport is seized via airborne assault, it cuts off India's main air reinforcement route.

4. Ground Offensive: Encircle and Cut NH-13

• Rapid mechanized advance via Lhasa-Nyingchi Highway, deploying ZTZ-99A tanks, ZBD-04 IFVs, and artillery.

• Special Forces and Airborne Troops (15th Airborne Corps) secure Tezpur and Tawang before major reinforcements arrive.

• NH-13 is cut at multiple points, trapping Indian mountain divisions inside with limited supplies and no retreat.

5. Psychological & Cyber Warfare

• Electronic warfare jamming disrupts Indian military communications.

• Propaganda operations target Indian soldiers and public morale, spreading confusion and disinformation.

• Cyberattacks on India's power grid and financial system cause nationwide disruption.

Strategic Outcome

• If successful, PLA forces effectively isolate Indian troops in Arunachal Pradesh, forcing either a rapid Indian surrender or a prolonged war of attrition.

• India’s reliance on NH-13 becomes a fatal weakness, as reinforcements cannot reach the battlefield fast enough.

• China dictates the terms of the ceasefire, using territorial gains as leverage in negotiations.

India’s Countermeasures?

• More tunnel networks (like Sela Tunnel) and alternative supply routes.

• Hardening air defenses with mobile systems (S-400, Barak-8, Akash-NG).

• More air bases in Northeast India, dispersing aircraft to avoid PLA first strikes.

• Investment in offensive capabilities (BrahMos NG, hypersonic missiles, more Su-30MKI upgrades).

If India doesn’t address these weaknesses, its position in Arunachal remains highly vulnerable to a fast PLA offensive.